Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.060990 0.069095 0.077484 0.086785 0.096779 0.107166 0.118749
2025-03-09 0.044289 0.055526 0.067879 0.082329 0.098631 0.116326 0.136858
2025-03-16 0.033110 0.045780 0.060516 0.078584 0.099814 0.123671 0.152207
2025-03-23 0.028213 0.042327 0.059509 0.081351 0.107801 0.138262 0.175474
2025-03-30 0.024094 0.039099 0.058159 0.083188 0.114295 0.150872 0.196333
2025-04-06 0.021577 0.037515 0.058512 0.086836 0.122778 0.165735 0.219842
2025-04-13 0.017982 0.033923 0.055824 0.086260 0.125764 0.173799 0.235146
2025-04-20 0.016990 0.033899 0.057797 0.091655 0.136235 0.191027 0.261605
2025-04-27 0.013884 0.030259 0.054423 0.089660 0.137031 0.196155 0.273237
2025-05-04 0.012679 0.029435 0.054922 0.092814 0.144462 0.209571 0.295113
2025-05-11 0.010652 0.026950 0.052754 0.092090 0.146642 0.216270 0.308624
2025-05-18 0.009668 0.026131 0.052988 0.094678 0.153212 0.228577 0.329204
2025-05-25 0.008668 0.025281 0.053313 0.097699 0.160852 0.242920 0.353264
2025-06-01 0.006593 0.021990 0.049502 0.094506 0.159912 0.246156 0.363381
2025-06-08 0.004833 0.018874 0.045621 0.090914 0.158202 0.248248 0.371973
2025-06-15 0.004311 0.018406 0.046200 0.094119 0.166106 0.263156 0.397224
2025-06-22 0.003712 0.017599 0.046086 0.096191 0.172379 0.275916 0.419769
2025-06-29 0.003407 0.017484 0.047201 0.100212 0.181509 0.292601 0.447563
2025-07-06 0.002667 0.015941 0.045499 0.099586 0.183789 0.299973 0.463158
2025-07-13 0.002623 0.016457 0.047769 0.105502 0.195780 0.320698 0.496503
2025-07-20 0.001914 0.014612 0.045228 0.103317 0.195654 0.324756 0.507780
2025-07-27 0.001721 0.014448 0.046047 0.106773 0.204000 0.340553 0.534753
2025-08-03 0.001289 0.013176 0.044432 0.105979 0.205865 0.347334 0.549703